Visiting Nicholls Expected Winner Over Texas State

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- The visiting Nicholls has an estimated 99.8% chance to overcome Texas State based on our football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Nicholls has an average of 54.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts Nicholls will pass for 2.8 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions against the Texas State defense on a forecasted 24.5 competitions with 44.2 attempts for 312.5 yards. Our model forecasts Nicholls will rush for 4.2 touchdowns against the Texas State defense on 58.6 attempts for a projected 474.6 yards.

Texas State has an average of 6.4 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Texas State will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 3.4 interceptions against the Nicholls defense on a projected 17.5 competitions with 35.1 attempts for 188.5 passing yards. Texas State is forecast to rush for 42.8 yards on 11.9 attempts with an estimated 0.1 rushing touchdown.

An estimated 99.6% likelihood to beat a -1.5 point spread, the best value is on Nicholls in their matchup against Texas State. With an over/under of 57.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 83.5% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC