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Fri, Nov 20, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-11-20 -- New Mexico predicted with a 84.8% chance to chalk up a road loss against Air Force based on the Snoozle Sports model
Based on the montecarlo model, New Mexico has an average of 25.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts New Mexico will pass for 2.1 touchdown and 1.8 interceptions against the Air Force defense on a forecasted 28.7 competitions with 32.9 attempts for 330.0 yards. Our model forecasts New Mexico will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Air Force defense on 32.4 attempts for a projected 136.9 yards.
In their hometown, Air Force is forecast to score 51.6 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Air Force will throw 39.0 competitions on 46.6 attempts against New Mexico with an estimated 1.4 interceptions for a total of 604.2 yards and 4.9 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Air Force will run on 46.5 attempts against New Mexico with an estimated total of 236.0 yards and 1.9 rushing touchdowns.
With an estimated 77.2% likelihood to pass a -7.5 spread, the best value is on Air Force over New Mexico against the spread. With an over/under of 55.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 97.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Fri, November 20, 2020 13:00:58 UTC