Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-12-05 -- On the road, Nebraska take Purdue for a 75.7% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Nebraska has an average of 26.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts Nebraska will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 2.4 interceptions against the Purdue defense on a forecasted 30.4 competitions with 40.2 attempts for 255.6 yards. The model predicts Nebraska will rush on 50.3 attempts against Purdue with an estimated total of 230.0 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.
Purdue is estimated to score 15.6 points at home. Purdue is estimated from the model to throw for 282.5 yards on 45.1 attempts for 32.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts Purdue will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Nebraska defense on 24.9 attempts for a projected 81.6 yards.
Based on a predicted 77.7% probability to cover a +1.5 spread, Nebraska is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 78.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 62.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC