Visiting Morgan State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Bowling Green

Thu, Aug 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-08-29 -- Morgan State predicted with a 95.6% chance to chalk up a road loss against Bowling Green based on the Snoozle Sports model

The Snoozle model forecast Morgan State to score 5.2 points on the road. Our model forecasts Morgan State will pass for 0.1 touchdowns and 2.1 interceptions against the Bowling Green defense on a forecasted 7.0 competitions with 28.7 attempts for 38.9 yards. The model predicts Morgan State will rush on 38.9 attempts against Bowling Green with an estimated total of 152.1 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.

Bowling Green is predicted to score 24.5 points on the home turf against Morgan State. Bowling Green is estimated from the model to throw for 252.4 yards on 47.8 attempts for 24.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The model estimates Bowling Green will run on 41.8 attempts against Morgan State with an estimated total of 164.2 yards and 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 59.9% probability to cover a +21.5 spread, Morgan State is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 82.4% likelihood and -110 odds at 49.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, August 29, 2019 07:25:51 MST