Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Michigan State is likely to fail on the road with a 84.3% chance of being correct against Wisconsin.
On the road, Michigan State is forecast to score 7.3 points against Wisconsin. Michigan State is forecast to pass for 0.3 touchdowns on 29.8 pass attempts with 12.7 competitions for 136.7 yards, and a predicted 0.4 interceptions. The model predicts Michigan State will rush on 23.8 attempts against Wisconsin with an estimated total of 60.0 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.
In their hometown, Wisconsin is forecast to score 18.9 points. Wisconsin is estimated from the model to throw for 191.0 yards on 31.7 attempts for 22.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. The model estimates Wisconsin will run on 47.2 attempts against Michigan State with an estimated total of 227.0 yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns.
With an estimated 53.9% likelihood to pass a -10.0 spread, the best value is on Wisconsin over Michigan State against the spread. The over/under line of 40.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC