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Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-14 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Miami (OH) is likely to fail on the road with a 62.6% chance of being correct against Cincinnati.
On the road, Miami (OH) is forecast to score 13.7 points against Cincinnati. Our model forecasts Miami (OH) will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions against the Cincinnati defense on a forecasted 13.0 competitions with 26.0 attempts for 165.0 yards. Our model forecasts Miami (OH) will rush for 0.4 touchdowns against the Cincinnati defense on 38.0 attempts for a projected 119.7 yards.
At home, Cincinnati is forecast to score 17.9 points. Cincinnati is expected to throw for 1.3 touchdowns with 31.4 pass attempts with 20.8 competitions for 259.1 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. Cincinnati is forecast to rush for 131.6 yards on 43.4 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 80.2% probability to cover a +16.5 spread, Miami (OH) is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 48.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 73.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST