Mon, Dec 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-12-28 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Memphis have a 61.0% chance to lose to the home town Penn State.
Memphis is predicted to score 22.8 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Memphis will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 0.4 interceptions against the Penn State defense on a forecasted 17.5 competitions with 31.3 attempts for 206.7 yards. The model predicts Memphis will rush on 39.3 attempts against Penn State with an estimated total of 250.5 yards and 1.5 running touchdowns.
Penn State has an average of 29.3 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Penn State will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Memphis defense on a projected 17.9 competitions with 36.0 attempts for 265.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts Penn State will rush for 1.7 touchdowns against the Memphis defense on 43.1 attempts for a projected 264.7 yards.
For this game, Memphis is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 39.0% probability to beat the +7.0 point spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 60.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Mon, December 16, 2019 13:01:27 UTC