Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-05 -- On the road, Memphis take UL Monroe for a 85.5% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.
Memphis is estimated to score 30.9 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Memphis will throw 26.2 competitions on 34.0 attempts against UL Monroe with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 308.5 yards and 2.0 touchdowns. Memphis is estimated from the model to rush for 1.7 touchdowns against UL Monroe with 48.9 rush attempts for 283.3 yards.
In their hometown, UL Monroe is forecast to score 11.8 points. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Memphis defense on a projected 11.8 competitions with 26.7 attempts for 118.1 passing yards. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Memphis defense on 28.8 attempts for a projected 156.2 yards.
Based on a predicted 57.9% probability to cover a -16.5 spread, Memphis is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 64.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 81.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC