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Visiting Marlins Hurler Sandy Alcantara Predicted Loser Against Braves

Thu, Aug 22, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Brian Anderson and J. T. Realmuto of the Miami Marlins. Austin Wynns of the Baltimore Orioles. Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018.
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

August 22, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Marlins are likely to fail on the road with a 85.26% chance of being correct against the Braves.

Likely starting pitcher for the Marlins, Sandy Alcantara, will be paired with the hosting Braves's pitcher Michael Soroka. The Marlins starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.145 outs, allow 3.265 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 7.213 innings, allowing 1.574 earned runs, with a 2.274 walks.

Sluggers Brian Anderson from the Marlins and Adeiny Hechavarria from the Braves will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Brian Anderson is predicted to bat for 0.233 with 0.405 RBIs and 0.412 runs scored. Adeiny Hechavarria is forecast to bat for 0.351 with 1.245 RBIs and 0.863 runs scored.

With -270 money line odds and a forecasted 85.26% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Braves over the Marlins. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Thu, August 22, 2019 13:03:17 UTC