Visiting Kansas's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Texas Tech

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-05 -- On the road, Kansas has a 50.7% chance to lose to Texas Tech from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Kansas is estimated to score 38.8 points on the road. Kansas is forecast to pass for 3.6 touchdowns on 38.0 pass attempts with 33.1 competitions for 462.4 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Kansas will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Texas Tech defense on 37.7 attempts for a projected 189.7 yards.

At home, Texas Tech is forecast to score 39.0 points. Texas Tech is estimated from the model to throw for 430.1 yards on 38.5 attempts for 33.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 3.4 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Texas Tech is predicted from the model to run for 1.6 touchdowns against Kansas with 38.4 rush attempts for 202.9 yards.

Kansas is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 82.1% likelihood estimate to cover a +26.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 94.1% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 62.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC