Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-29 -- According to our model, Iowa predicted to over perform on the road against Nebraska with a 50.8% chance to win.
Iowa is estimated to score 19.0 points on the road. Iowa is predicted from the model to throw for 244.0 yards on 39.8 attempts for 22.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Iowa will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Nebraska defense on 35.5 attempts for a projected 175.6 yards.
At home, Nebraska is forecast to score 18.5 points. Our model forecasts Nebraska will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions against the Iowa defense on a projected 17.2 competitions with 29.5 attempts for 203.4 passing yards. Nebraska is forecast to rush for 193.0 yards on 41.2 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.
For this game Nebraska are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 62.2% chance to beat a +6.0 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 59.0% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 44.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC