Visiting Indiana's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Michigan State

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Indiana have a 78.9% chance to lose to the home town Michigan State.

The Snoozle model forecast Indiana to score 8.7 points on the road. Indiana is forecast to pass for 0.6 touchdowns on 38.9 pass attempts with 23.1 competitions for 218.8 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. The model predicts Indiana will rush on 30.3 attempts against Michigan State with an estimated total of 62.4 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.

In their hometown, Michigan State is forecast to score 18.5 points. Michigan State is estimated from the model to throw for 236.4 yards on 43.6 attempts for 23.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Michigan State will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Indiana defense on 38.9 attempts for a projected 136.6 yards.

For this game, Indiana is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 21.1% probability to beat the +14.5 point spread. The over/under line of 44.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 76.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC