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Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- Illinois State with a 82.5% forecasted chance to beat N Illinois on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
On the road, Illinois State is forecast to score 23.8 points against N Illinois. Illinois State is predicted from the model to throw for 277.1 yards on 31.4 attempts for 11.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 0.1 interceptions. Our model forecasts Illinois State will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the N Illinois defense on 51.1 attempts for a projected 188.0 yards.
In their hometown, N Illinois is forecast to score 9.9 points. N Illinois is estimated from the model to throw for 111.2 yards on 31.9 attempts for 16.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.3 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts N Illinois will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Illinois State defense on 39.4 attempts for a projected 185.0 yards.
Illinois State is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 90.2% likelihood estimate to cover a +5.5 point spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 42.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST