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Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-05 -- Illinois with a 67.4% forecasted chance to beat Minnesota on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
On the road, Illinois is forecast to score 21.0 points against Minnesota. Illinois is predicted from the model to throw for 264.9 yards on 38.8 attempts for 22.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions. The model predicts Illinois will rush on 41.1 attempts against Minnesota with an estimated total of 196.2 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.
In their hometown, Minnesota is forecast to score 15.0 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Minnesota will throw 17.4 competitions on 26.8 attempts against Illinois with an estimated 1.7 interceptions for a total of 264.5 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Minnesota will run on 41.8 attempts against Illinois with an estimated total of 70.6 yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns.
Illinois is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 92.4% likelihood estimate to cover a +14.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 87.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 60.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC