Sat, Nov 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-16 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Idaho State is likely to fail on the road with a 99.4% chance of being correct against BYU.
Based on the montecarlo model, Idaho State has an average of 4.0 points for the game. Idaho State is predicted from the model to throw for 99.0 yards on 29.5 attempts for 13.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.1 touchdown and 1.4 interceptions. Idaho State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.1 touchdown against BYU with 25.8 rush attempts for 56.9 yards.
BYU is estimated to score 34.3 points at home. BYU is expected to throw for 2.6 touchdowns with 48.9 pass attempts with 26.7 competitions for 425.5 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts BYU will rush for 1.5 touchdowns against the Idaho State defense on 45.8 attempts for a projected 278.1 yards.
Based on a predicted 59.9% probability to cover a +33.0 spread, Idaho State is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 80.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 58.5 runs.
Posted at Sat, November 16, 2019 13:00:58 UTC