Visiting Houston's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over North Texas

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Houston is likely to fail on the road with a 79.4% chance of being correct against North Texas.

Based on the montecarlo model, Houston has an average of 23.4 points for the game. Houston is predicted from the model to throw for 156.8 yards on 28.8 attempts for 14.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.3 interceptions. Houston is predicted to run for 263.2 yards on 35.7 attempts with an estimated 1.6 touchdowns.

In their hometown, North Texas is forecast to score 44.5 points. Our model forecasts North Texas will pass for 3.3 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Houston defense on a projected 30.2 competitions with 47.3 attempts for 434.7 passing yards. North Texas is forecast to rush for 319.0 yards on 43.3 attempts with an estimated 2.4 rushing touchdowns.

North Texas is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 71.8% estimated to cover a -6.0 spread. With an over/under of 60.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 86.4% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC