Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Hawaii is likely to fail on the road with a 70.2% chance of being correct against Boise State.
Based on the montecarlo model, Hawaii has an average of 25.7 points for the game. Our model forecasts Hawaii will pass for 2.4 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Boise State defense on a forecasted 28.0 competitions with 42.1 attempts for 355.7 yards. Our model forecasts Hawaii will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Boise State defense on 22.5 attempts for a projected 112.8 yards.
Boise State has an average of 36.8 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Boise State will throw 24.1 competitions on 42.5 attempts against Hawaii with an estimated 2.2 interceptions for a total of 372.4 yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Boise State will rush for 1.7 touchdowns against the Hawaii defense on 38.5 attempts for a projected 241.3 yards.
Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Hawaii (+11.5) at Boise State game. Based on the prediction model's over 80.8% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 59.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC