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Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-30 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, FSU is likely to fail on the road with a 78.3% chance of being correct against Florida.
On the road, FSU is forecast to score 13.6 points against Florida. FSU is forecast to pass for 0.9 touchdowns on 36.8 pass attempts with 21.3 competitions for 216.3 yards, and a predicted 0.3 interceptions. FSU is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Florida with 30.0 rush attempts for 120.6 yards.
Florida is estimated to score 25.4 points at home. Our model forecasts Florida will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the FSU defense on a projected 31.2 competitions with 48.9 attempts for 342.0 passing yards. Florida is forecast to rush for 137.2 yards on 35.0 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.
FSU is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 65.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +17.0 point spread. The over/under line of 53.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 65.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC