Visiting Florida's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over LSU

Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-12 -- Florida predicted with a 79.5% chance to chalk up a road loss against LSU based on the Snoozle Sports model

Florida is estimated to score 14.7 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Florida will throw 22.8 competitions on 36.3 attempts against LSU with a forecasted 1.0 interceptions for a total of 251.2 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. Florida is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against LSU with 27.7 rush attempts for 94.7 yards.

In their hometown, LSU is forecast to score 28.5 points. LSU is estimated from the model to throw for 397.7 yards on 43.6 attempts for 30.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions. LSU is forecast to rush for 158.0 yards on 39.2 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Florida (+12.5) at LSU game. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 54.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC