Visiting Favorite Florida's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Missouri

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- On the road, Florida has a 51.3% chance to lose to Missouri from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Florida has an average of 16.3 points for the game. Florida is predicted from the model to throw for 253.5 yards on 42.4 attempts for 23.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.9 interceptions. Florida is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Missouri with 31.1 rush attempts for 112.8 yards.

At home, Missouri is forecast to score 16.5 points. Missouri is expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 34.7 pass attempts with 18.8 competitions for 214.5 yards, and an estimated 0.7 interceptions. Missouri is forecast to rush for 148.1 yards on 37.3 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 68.6% likelihood to pass a +7.0 spread, the best value is on Missouri over Florida against the spread. With a predicted 69.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 48.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC