Visiting ECU's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over USF

Sat, Oct 10, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-10 -- On the road, ECU has a 94.6% chance to lose to USF from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Based on the montecarlo model, ECU has an average of 19.8 points for the game. ECU is predicted from the model to throw for 258.4 yards on 30.0 attempts for 19.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 2.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts ECU will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the USF defense on 29.7 attempts for a projected 148.9 yards.

USF is estimated to score 55.6 points at home. USF is estimated from the model to throw for 626.9 yards on 52.2 attempts for 44.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 5.0 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. The model estimates USF will run on 51.8 attempts against ECU with an estimated total of 303.3 yards and 2.3 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 91.3% likelihood to pass a -6.0 spread, the best value is on USF over ECU against the spread. With an over/under of 57.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 97.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 10, 2020 13:00:44 UTC