Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, ECU is likely to fail on the road with a 81.7% chance of being correct against North Carolina St.
Based on the montecarlo model, ECU has an average of 11.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts ECU will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the North Carolina St defense on a forecasted 17.5 competitions with 37.7 attempts for 186.8 yards. ECU is predicted to run for 112.6 yards on 25.7 attempts with an estimated 0.4 touchdowns.
North Carolina St has an average of 26.2 points in our model for the game. North Carolina St is expected to throw for 2.0 touchdowns with 46.9 pass attempts with 31.1 competitions for 346.3 yards, and an estimated 0.1 interceptions. The model estimates North Carolina St will run on 39.6 attempts against ECU with an estimated total of 159.9 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 57.1% probability to cover a +17.5 spread, ECU is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 79.9% likelihood and -110 odds at 57.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST