Visiting Duke's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UNC

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Duke predicted with a 73.1% chance to chalk up a road loss against UNC based on the Snoozle Sports model

Duke is estimated to score 14.1 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Duke will throw 17.4 competitions on 28.9 attempts against UNC with a forecasted 0.0 interceptions for a total of 178.0 yards and 0.7 touchdowns. Duke is estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against UNC with 37.5 rush attempts for 158.3 yards.

At home, UNC is forecast to score 24.2 points. The Snoozle football model estimates UNC will throw 21.0 competitions on 38.2 attempts against Duke with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 288.5 yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts UNC will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Duke defense on 36.6 attempts for a projected 179.3 yards.

For this game UNC are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 64.2% chance to beat a -4.5 spread. With a predicted 65.5% likelihood and -110 odds at 52.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC