Visiting Duke's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Notre Dame

Wed, Sep 9, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-09-12 -- Duke predicted with a 65.4% chance to chalk up a road loss against Notre Dame based on the Snoozle Sports model

Duke is predicted to score 23.4 points against their opponent. Duke is predicted from the model to throw for 287.7 yards on 34.5 attempts for 24.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.8 touchdowns and 1.1 interception. Duke is predicted to run for 165.6 yards on 34.4 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.

In their hometown, Notre Dame is forecast to score 30.6 points. Notre Dame is estimated from the model to throw for 394.4 yards on 40.0 attempts for 28.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.5 touchdowns and 1.1 interception. Notre Dame is forecast to rush for 199.8 yards on 39.9 attempts with an estimated 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 75.6% probability to cover a +20.0 spread, Duke is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 67.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 57.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 9, 2020 13:04:06 UTC