Visiting Duke's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over FSU

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Duke is likely to fail on the road with a 95.6% chance of being correct against FSU.

The Snoozle model forecast Duke to score 14.4 points on the road. Duke is forecast to pass for 1.2 touchdowns on 34.7 pass attempts with 14.4 competitions for 234.4 yards, and a predicted 3.6 interceptions. The model predicts Duke will rush on 23.3 attempts against FSU with an estimated total of 86.4 yards and 0.3 running touchdowns.

FSU is predicted to score 44.0 points on the home turf against Duke. FSU is expected to throw for 3.9 touchdowns with 50.4 pass attempts with 39.5 competitions for 563.3 yards, and an estimated 3.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts FSU will rush for 1.6 touchdowns against the Duke defense on 50.1 attempts for a projected 244.6 yards.

For this game FSU are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 92.6% chance to beat a -4.0 spread. According to prediction model the 77.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:01:13 UTC