Wed, Jan 6, 2021 | Rob Otto
2021-01-09 -- On the road, the Colts has a 51.1% chance to lose to the Bills from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
The Snoozle model forecast the Colts to score 15.5 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Colts will throw 20.7 competitions on 36.6 attempts against the Bills with a forecasted 0.2 interceptions for a total of 205.7 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. The model predicts the Colts will rush on 27.4 attempts against the Bills with an estimated total of 126.6 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.
At home, the Bills are forecast to score 16.8 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Bills will throw 21.8 competitions on 35.8 attempts against the Colts with an estimated 1.7 interceptions for a total of 199.0 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. The Bills are forecast to rush for 149.7 yards on 30.4 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.
For this game, the Colts are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 44.1% probability to beat the +6.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 80.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 51.5 runs.
Posted at Wed, January 6, 2021 13:08:19 UTC