Visiting Cincinnati Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on SMU

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- On the road, Cincinnati take SMU for a 88.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

On the road, Cincinnati is forecast to score 39.3 points against SMU. Our model forecasts Cincinnati will pass for 3.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the SMU defense on a forecasted 32.2 competitions with 41.9 attempts for 424.4 yards. Our model forecasts Cincinnati will rush for 1.6 touchdowns against the SMU defense on 41.9 attempts for a projected 224.7 yards.

In their hometown, SMU is forecast to score 18.0 points. SMU is estimated from the model to throw for 254.6 yards on 30.6 attempts for 16.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. SMU is forecast to rush for 112.4 yards on 29.7 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 90.0% probability to cover a +2.5 spread, Cincinnati is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 75.1% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 57.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC