Visiting Cincinnati's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Memphis

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-29 -- On the road, Cincinnati has a 55.6% chance to lose to Memphis from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Cincinnati is predicted to score 18.3 points against their opponent. Cincinnati is predicted from the model to throw for 171.4 yards on 28.3 attempts for 13.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Cincinnati will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Memphis defense on 40.7 attempts for a projected 202.7 yards.

Memphis is predicted to score 19.5 points on the home turf against Cincinnati. Memphis is estimated from the model to throw for 255.1 yards on 31.6 attempts for 16.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts Memphis will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Cincinnati defense on 35.5 attempts for a projected 154.7 yards.

For this game, Cincinnati is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 44.4% probability to beat the +11.0 point spread. The over/under line of 57.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 80.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC