Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- On the road, Boise State has a 61.8% chance to lose to FSU from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Boise State has an average of 16.3 points for the game. Our model forecasts Boise State will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the FSU defense on a forecasted 23.5 competitions with 41.2 attempts for 251.9 yards. Boise State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against FSU with 40.2 rush attempts for 146.4 yards.
FSU is estimated to score 20.9 points at home. Our model forecasts FSU will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the Boise State defense on a projected 24.4 competitions with 47.4 attempts for 305.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts FSU will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Boise State defense on 32.7 attempts for a projected 104.0 yards.
Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Boise State (+5.5) at FSU game. The over/under line of 53.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 71.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST