Visiting Ball State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Buffalo

Tue, Dec 15, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-18 -- On the road, Ball State has a 73.4% chance to lose to Buffalo from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

On the road, Ball State is forecast to score 20.1 points against Buffalo. Ball State is predicted from the model to throw for 224.0 yards on 31.6 attempts for 20.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. The model predicts Ball State will rush on 43.9 attempts against Buffalo with an estimated total of 198.1 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

At home, Buffalo is forecast to score 32.6 points. Buffalo is expected to throw for 1.7 touchdowns with 27.4 pass attempts with 15.5 competitions for 266.9 yards, and an estimated 0.5 interceptions. The model estimates Buffalo will run on 57.5 attempts against Ball State with an estimated total of 334.3 yards and 2.1 rushing touchdown.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Ball State (+13.5) at Buffalo game. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 66.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, December 15, 2020 13:01:14 UTC