Visiting Arkansas State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Troy

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Arkansas State has an estimated 95.3% likelihood to lose to Troy based on our model.

Arkansas State is estimated to score 15.9 points on the road. Arkansas State is predicted from the model to throw for 283.9 yards on 32.3 attempts for 18.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Arkansas State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.3 touchdowns against Troy with 24.7 rush attempts for 61.7 yards.

Troy is predicted to score 57.5 points on the home turf against Arkansas State. Troy is estimated from the model to throw for 672.9 yards on 58.4 attempts for 38.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 5.5 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions. Troy is forecast to rush for 246.1 yards on 35.9 attempts with an estimated 1.9 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 91.1% likelihood to pass a -7.0 spread, the best value is on Troy over Arkansas State against the spread. According to prediction model the 90.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 61.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC