Visiting Arkansas's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Missouri

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-05 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Arkansas is likely to fail on the road with a 87.0% chance of being correct against Missouri.

Arkansas is estimated to score 19.6 points on the road. Arkansas is forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 29.7 pass attempts with 23.0 competitions for 267.9 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Missouri defense on 29.5 attempts for a projected 121.1 yards.

In their hometown, Missouri is forecast to score 43.8 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Missouri will throw 37.2 competitions on 42.7 attempts against Arkansas with an estimated 1.4 interceptions for a total of 429.6 yards and 3.5 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Missouri will run on 43.0 attempts against Arkansas with an estimated total of 247.1 yards and 2.0 rushing touchdowns.

Missouri is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 83.1% estimated to cover a -3.0 spread. With an over/under of 53.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 92.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC