Visiting Arizona's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Arizona State

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Arizona is likely to fail on the road with a 75.5% chance of being correct against Arizona State.

Arizona is estimated to score 19.7 points on the road. Arizona is predicted from the model to throw for 247.0 yards on 33.0 attempts for 21.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions. Arizona is predicted to run for 142.0 yards on 34.9 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

Arizona State is estimated to score 34.2 points at home. Arizona State is estimated from the model to throw for 406.8 yards on 40.7 attempts for 27.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.9 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions. The model estimates Arizona State will run on 47.1 attempts against Arizona with an estimated total of 211.7 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 54.3% likelihood to pass a -13.5 spread, the best value is on Arizona State over Arizona against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 62.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 59.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC