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Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- According to our model, Akron predicted to over perform on the road against Illinois with a 69.1% chance to win.
Akron is estimated to score 24.6 points on the road. Our model forecasts Akron will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Illinois defense on a forecasted 22.8 competitions with 46.5 attempts for 275.7 yards. Akron is predicted to run for 203.1 yards on 38.8 attempts with an estimated 1.0 touchdowns.
Illinois has an average of 15.9 points in our model for the game. Illinois is estimated from the model to throw for 122.6 yards on 32.5 attempts for 15.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Illinois will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Akron defense on 38.5 attempts for a projected 233.9 yards.
Akron is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 93.1% likelihood estimate to cover a +16.5 point spread. The over/under line of 56.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST