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Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-26 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Akron is likely to fail on the road with a 64.5% chance of being correct against N Illinois.
The Snoozle model forecast Akron to score 16.9 points on the road. Akron is predicted from the model to throw for 336.9 yards on 45.8 attempts for 25.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The model predicts Akron will rush on 29.1 attempts against N Illinois with an estimated total of 91.6 yards and 0.3 running touchdowns.
At home, N Illinois is forecast to score 23.2 points. Our model forecasts N Illinois will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Akron defense on a projected 25.6 competitions with 45.6 attempts for 283.8 passing yards. N Illinois is forecast to rush for 127.9 yards on 31.5 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.
For this game, Akron is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 35.5% probability to beat the +23.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 60.2% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 46.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC