Vikings with a Forecasted Win Over the Chargers

Thu, Dec 12, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-15 -- The visiting Vikings has an estimated 50.6% chance to overcome the Chargers based on our football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Vikings have an average of 17.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Vikings will throw 23.7 competitions on 36.7 attempts against the Chargers with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 237.4 yards and 1.3 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Vikings will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Chargers defense on 28.3 attempts for a projected 119.0 yards.

In their hometown, the Chargers are forecast to score 16.1 points. The Chargers are estimated from the model to throw for 230.0 yards on 39.8 attempts for 24.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 1.7 interceptions. The Chargers are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Vikings with 23.8 rush attempts for 122.0 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for the Vikings (-2.5) at the Chargers game. The over/under line of 44.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, December 12, 2019 13:03:50 UTC