Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-31 -- UVA under perform at home with a 96.4% chance to lose against UNC based on our football model.
At home, UVA is forecast to score 11.7 points. The Snoozle football model estimates UVA will throw 17.9 competitions on 27.4 attempts against UNC with an estimated 2.8 interceptions for a total of 151.1 yards and 0.7 passing touchdowns. UVA is predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against UNC with 27.4 rush attempts for 102.9 yards.
UNC is predicted to score 40.6 points against their opponent. UNC is predicted from the model to throw for 451.9 yards on 51.8 attempts for 33.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.1 touchdown and 1.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts UNC will rush for 1.8 touchdowns against the UVA defense on 46.1 attempts for a projected 259.9 yards.
An estimated 89.6% likelihood to beat a -7.5 point spread, the best value is on UNC in their matchup against UVA. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 62.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC