UVA Forecasted Loser at Home Against VT

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-29 -- UVA has a 65.6% likelihood to fall to VT with a based on our model.

UVA is predicted to score 15.6 points on the home turf against VT. Our model forecasts UVA will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the VT defense on a projected 22.5 competitions with 39.3 attempts for 240.2 passing yards. Our model forecasts UVA will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the VT defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 133.1 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, VT has an average of 22.5 points for the game. VT is predicted from the model to throw for 230.6 yards on 28.2 attempts for 14.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions. The model predicts VT will rush on 45.2 attempts against UVA with an estimated total of 201.9 yards and 1.1 running touchdown.

An estimated 62.4% likelihood to beat a -2.5 point spread, the best value is on VT in their matchup against UVA. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 54.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 48.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC