UTSA Forecasted Loser at Home Against Southern Miss

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, UTSA is predicted with a 85.9% to lose at home against Southern Miss.

UTSA is estimated to score 15.9 points at home. UTSA is expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 29.1 pass attempts with 16.9 competitions for 192.3 yards, and an estimated 0.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts UTSA will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Southern Miss defense on 34.9 attempts for a projected 147.1 yards.

On the road, Southern Miss is forecast to score 35.7 points against UTSA. Southern Miss is forecast to pass for 2.9 touchdowns on 43.1 pass attempts with 30.2 competitions for 428.3 yards, and a predicted 0.5 interceptions. Southern Miss is predicted to run for 200.9 yards on 41.8 attempts with an estimated 1.3 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 57.0% probability to cover a -17.0 spread, Southern Miss is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 74.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 52.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC