Utah State on the Road Predicted to Beat New Mexico

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- On the road, Utah State take New Mexico for a 94.3% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Utah State has an average of 43.6 points for the game. Our model forecasts Utah State will pass for 3.9 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions against the New Mexico defense on a forecasted 32.3 competitions with 52.5 attempts for 531.2 yards. Our model forecasts Utah State will rush for 1.5 touchdowns against the New Mexico defense on 40.7 attempts for a projected 199.9 yards.

At home, New Mexico is forecast to score 13.6 points. Our model forecasts New Mexico will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions against the Utah State defense on a projected 12.3 competitions with 26.4 attempts for 149.0 passing yards. New Mexico is predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Utah State with 30.9 rush attempts for 140.9 yards.

Utah State is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 83.4% likelihood estimate to cover a -10.5 point spread. With an over/under of 61.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC