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Thu, Nov 21, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-23 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting UT Martin have a 84.1% chance to lose to the home town Kentucky.
The Snoozle model forecast UT Martin to score 13.3 points on the road. UT Martin is forecast to pass for 0.8 touchdowns on 28.9 pass attempts with 15.8 competitions for 194.7 yards, and a predicted 1.6 interceptions. The model predicts UT Martin will rush on 24.4 attempts against Kentucky with an estimated total of 110.3 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.
Kentucky has an average of 29.6 points in our model for the game. Kentucky is expected to throw for 1.2 touchdowns with 27.1 pass attempts with 18.2 competitions for 166.7 yards, and an estimated 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Kentucky will rush for 2.3 touchdowns against the UT Martin defense on 51.8 attempts for a projected 352.0 yards.
Based on a predicted 76.7% probability to cover a +29.5 spread, UT Martin is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 43.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 77.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Thu, November 21, 2019 13:00:30 UTC