Underdog Southern Miss with a Predicted Win Over Miss St

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-07 -- Southern Miss has an predicted 57.9% chance for a road over Miss St.

Based on the montecarlo model, Southern Miss has an average of 37.6 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Southern Miss will throw 18.1 competitions on 29.6 attempts against Miss St with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 290.0 yards and 2.1 touchdown. Southern Miss is predicted to run for 157.3 yards on 37.8 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.

At home, Miss St is forecast to score 32.5 points. Our model forecasts Miss St will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions against the Southern Miss defense on a projected 21.8 competitions with 40.1 attempts for 304.0 passing yards. Miss St is forecast to rush for 283.3 yards on 45.6 attempts with an estimated 1.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 79.3% probability to cover a +16.5 spread, Southern Miss is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 51.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 96.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST