Underdog South Alabama with a Predicted Win Over Texas State

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

 Tweet 

2019-11-09 -- The visiting South Alabama has an estimated 53.5% chance to overcome Texas State based on our football model.

On the road, South Alabama is forecast to score 17.4 points against Texas State. South Alabama is predicted from the model to throw for 160.8 yards on 32.9 attempts for 17.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 2.4 interceptions. South Alabama is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Texas State with 43.1 rush attempts for 197.2 yards.

Texas State is predicted to score 16.1 points on the home turf against South Alabama. The Snoozle football model estimates Texas State will throw 31.8 competitions on 50.3 attempts against South Alabama with an estimated 1.1 interception for a total of 287.2 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. Texas State is predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against South Alabama with 24.5 rush attempts for 98.2 yards.

Based on a predicted 73.2% probability to cover a +7.5 spread, South Alabama is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 42.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC