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Underdog South Alabama with a Predicted Win Over Georgia State

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-11-23 -- According to our model, South Alabama predicted to over perform on the road against Georgia State with a 54.2% chance to win.

South Alabama is predicted to score 28.4 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts South Alabama will throw 17.3 competitions on 30.0 attempts against Georgia State with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 204.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. The model predicts South Alabama will rush on 46.4 attempts against Georgia State with an estimated total of 270.4 yards and 1.8 running touchdowns.

In their hometown, Georgia State is forecast to score 26.8 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Georgia State will throw 18.2 competitions on 30.9 attempts against South Alabama with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 207.6 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns. Georgia State is forecast to rush for 281.3 yards on 42.8 attempts with an estimated 1.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 72.0% probability to cover a +11.0 spread, South Alabama is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 72.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 56.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC