Underdog Saints on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Rams

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-15 -- The Saints are predicted with a 100.0% for a road win against the Rams.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Saints have an average of 40.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Saints will pass for 3.0 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Rams defense on a forecasted 36.3 competitions with 60.1 attempts for 401.0 yards. Our model forecasts the Saints will rush for 1.8 touchdowns against the Rams defense on 32.7 attempts for a projected 281.0 yards.

In their hometown, the Rams are forecast to score 3.0 points. The Rams are estimated from the model to throw for 9.3 yards on 15.4 attempts for 5.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.0 touchdowns and 2.6 interceptions. The Rams are predicted from the model to run for 0.1 touchdown against Saints with 25.6 rush attempts for 73.5 yards.

For this game, the Saints are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 100.0% probability to beat the +3.0 point spread. The over/under line of 54.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 21:04:32 MST