Underdog Reds Led By Pitcher Anthony DeSclafani on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Diamondbacks

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Emma Botos


Anthony DeSclafani
Erik Drost on Flickr License

September 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Reds take the Diamondbacks for a 54.12% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

On the mound for the Reds will be Anthony DeSclafani matched up against Merrill Kelly. The Reds's Anthony DeSclafani is predicted to throw for 6.724 innings, allowing 2.326 earned runs, with 6.856 Ks. Merrill Kelly is estimated from the model to throw for 6.662 innings, allowing 2.408 earned runs, with 7.247 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Aristides Aquino of the Reds will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Ketel Marte. The Reds's Aristides Aquino from the plate is forecast to score 0.734 runs, 0.958 RBIs and have a 0.330 OBP. Ketel Marte is forecast to bat for 0.307 with 0.570 RBIs and 0.712 runs scored.

With +106 money line odds and a estimated 54.12% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Reds over the Diamondbacks. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-132)/under(+114) odds, the 8.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 13:05:16 UTC