Underdog Reds Led By Pitcher Alex Wood on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Nationals

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Starting pitcher Alex Wood at Trustmark Park in Pearl, Mississippi pitching for the AA affiliate of the Atlanta Braves.
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August 13, 2019 -- The Reds with a 88.28% forecasted chance to beat the Nationals on the road based on the Snoozle model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Reds, Alex Wood, will be paired with the hosting Nationals's pitcher Joe Ross. The Reds's Alex Wood is predicted to throw for 6.729 innings, allowing 1.952 earned runs, with 6.182 Ks. The Nationals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 17.671 outs, allow 5.054 earned runs, and a 0.000 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Aristides Aquino of the Reds will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Matt Adams. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to bat for 0.407 with 1.788 RBIs and 1.323 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Matt Adams 1B is predicted to have 0.713 RBIs and score 0.518 runs over an estimated 4.244 at-bats.

The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the +100 odds and a forecasted 88.28% win estimate. With an over/under of 10.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 72.78% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC