Underdog Nicholls with a Predicted Win Over Kansas State

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-08-31 -- Nicholls with a 88.3% forecasted chance to beat Kansas State on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

Nicholls is estimated to score 23.8 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Nicholls will throw 16.9 competitions on 37.7 attempts against Kansas State with a forecasted 0.7 interceptions for a total of 189.2 yards and 1.1 touchdowns. The model predicts Nicholls will rush on 51.1 attempts against Kansas State with an estimated total of 292.4 yards and 1.4 running touchdowns.

At home, Kansas State is forecast to score 7.7 points. Our model forecasts Kansas State will pass for 0.3 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Nicholls defense on a projected 12.9 competitions with 27.1 attempts for 92.4 passing yards. Kansas State is forecast to rush for 153.6 yards on 35.6 attempts with an estimated 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 99.7% probability to cover a +24.5 spread, Nicholls is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 47.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 73.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST