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Mon, Dec 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-12-31 -- According to our model, Navy predicted to over perform on the road against Kansas State with a 58.7% chance to win.
Based on the montecarlo model, Navy has an average of 23.6 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Navy will throw 5.7 competitions on 13.0 attempts against Kansas State with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 87.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. The model predicts Navy will rush on 62.6 attempts against Kansas State with an estimated total of 381.5 yards and 2.2 running touchdowns.
Kansas State has an average of 19.6 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Kansas State will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 0.4 interceptions against the Navy defense on a projected 17.0 competitions with 27.8 attempts for 191.9 passing yards. Our model forecasts Kansas State will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Navy defense on 38.1 attempts for a projected 196.8 yards.
For this game, Navy is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 58.7% probability to beat the +1.0 point spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 52.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Mon, December 16, 2019 13:01:27 UTC