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Underdog Mid Tennessee with a Predicted Win Over Iowa

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-09-28 -- According to our model, Mid Tennessee predicted to over perform on the road against Iowa with a 69.1% chance to win.

Mid Tennessee is estimated to score 26.4 points on the road. Our model forecasts Mid Tennessee will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Iowa defense on a forecasted 29.6 competitions with 45.6 attempts for 343.2 yards. Mid Tennessee is estimated from the model to rush for 1.1 touchdown against Iowa with 35.8 rush attempts for 189.5 yards.

Iowa has an average of 17.3 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Iowa will throw 21.6 competitions on 36.2 attempts against Mid Tennessee with an estimated 0.7 interceptions for a total of 202.7 yards and 1.1 passing touchdown . Our model forecasts Iowa will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Mid Tennessee defense on 34.0 attempts for a projected 181.3 yards.

Based on a predicted 97.6% probability to cover a +24.5 spread, Mid Tennessee is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 54.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 52.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC